Update: GigaOm says it's heard Calacanis has resigned. Techcrunch agrees. So does Valleywag.
In today's episode, we are introduced to an executive from a TV network, Randy Falco
of NBC (GE). Coincidentally, two of NBC’s shows (Studio 60, 30 Rock)
depict that company's executives as clueless no nothings. Falco is replacing Jon Miller as CEO of AOL.
We should have seen it coming.
The closest person AOL has to a founder, still on staff, Ted Leonsis, announced a few months ago he was stepping out of active management in January. Anyone want to bet that's about the time the wheels were set
in motion to make a switch? September is also when the company's stock began
a 17% rise.
Back in the summer, AOL's (TWX) most visible executive, Jason Calacanis, also started getting involved with podcasts. He wangled invitations to Leo Laporte's TWIT, became a regular on Steve Gilmor's "Gang," and finally announced plans to have his own show through John Furrier's Podtech.net. More than a year ago, Calacanis said podcasts would never amount to anything. Times change.
I'm predicting Calacanis is going to make a change, too. On those
podcasts, he's sounded like a guy with a lot of energy, ideas,
patience, and passion - not to mention money - who knows there's
another startup in his future. This could be the tipping point.
On his blog, Calacanis calls
the announcement of Falco’s hiring, "a very sad day." He lauds Miller
as "a quiet (unselfish) samurai of a leader" who put up with Calacanis'
antics, knowing the genius effort easily paid for the broken china.
Come the New Year, Leonsis is outta there. Miller probably gone by
then. Calacanis will be, too. He’s said that if he didn’t finish 2006
as a top company executive, it would be time to move on. He won't.
There will be new guys getting new AOL business cards. Falco has people
he wants to work with. So does Calacanis. They both will. Just not
together. Different worlds.
The arrival of a 30-year NBC veteran to run AOL is not likely to
excite the staying-behind cubicle workers. But for shareholders like
me, (holding since the mid 1990's), that's probably good. The cost
cutting and layoffs, revolutionizing the business model -- the heavy
lifting's been done.
It might even be “business as usual.” Which would be a change.
Nick Denton is a LOT less optimistic than I am.
Disclaimer: I own shares of Time Warner.
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